烧饼歌

《烧饼歌》，是中国著名民间预言书之一，假托是明朝开国军师刘伯温与明太祖朱元璋对话时所著。

内容

《烧饼歌》全文共1,912个字，由四十多首歌谣组成。每句答话都像一首谜语，和诺查丹玛斯的“预言”一样，写得十分隐讳，可以用不同的角度去诠释这些隐语的意思。许多研究者称《烧饼歌》非常灵验，但这些所谓灵验无非是用“既已发生之事实”去附会歌谣里的谶语。基本上，《烧饼歌》仍无法斩钉截铁地推断出未来将发生什么事件，必须等事后来反证其准确。目前并无任何史料能够证明此歌为刘基所作，且在民国以前也未曾流行，故推测其为清朝末年或民国初年之人托名伪作。

美国汉学家陈学霖考证，可能是明初之人伪托刘伯温所做。但至今民间仍认为其概括了明朝、清朝、中华民国以至中华人民共和国时期的各种大事。《烧饼歌》和《推背图》等，都是中国谶纬文化的代表之作。

预言

现时推断烧饼歌包含了有关以下事件的预言：

靖难之变

土木堡之变

魏忠贤乱政

满清的兴起

第一次鸦片战争

第一次中日战争

辛亥革命

清朝历代皇帝年号

1911年以后的事件，由于内容过于空泛及不准确，以至后人认为整本书都是清末的人伪托。

The Shaobing Song (Chinese: 燒餅歌), also known as Pancake Poem or Pancake Song, is a poem purported to be written by Liu Bowen during the Ming dynasty. He supposedly presented the poem to the Hongwu Emperor.

Prophecy

The poem is named after the Chinese pastry shaobing. It is written in cryptic form and is difficult to understand. Some believe that certain lines contain references to the future of China at the time including:

Jingnan campaign (1399-1402)

Tumu Crisis

Rise of Zheng He

Political unrest of Wei Zhongxian (魏忠贤乱政)

Fall of the Ming dynasty and rise of the Qing dynasty

First Opium War

First Sino-Japanese War

Founding of the Republic of China

Evaluations

Some Chinese researchers claimed that Pancake Poem is quite spiritual and is representative of the Chinese prophecy culture.

However, most of the work's predictions of what would happen after 1911 are too vague and inaccurate. This led some experts to believe the work is a hoax of recent production, designed to reassure people that all would be well when there was much unrest as a consequence of the Japanese invasion and the rise of communism.